Throughout the first game, as well as after the game the narrative for this series vs. the Celtics primarily was that they missed “wide open” or “open” threes and they just had an off shooting night. Maybe from a tracking or analytics perspective that number makes sense, but if you watch the games itself, these are not open shots MAJORITY of the time.
Sure the Celtics are also missing some wide open threes that you see on the tape when the defense collapses, but that is not the net variety of what we see. Just because a shot is open does not mean it is not rushed due to a defender closing out from a hedge which we see a lot this series as the Knicks have moved away from drop coverage into full switches with hard hedges from the wings. Tracking data fails to account for if a shot is rushed, if it is a shot in motion of the offense, if it’s a step back 3 that gives space to make it a open shot but still a guy jumping at you.
These are what a majority of the Celtics actual looks are, so the knicks deserve more credit on defense, they have held up well. This was also apparent in the second game, their defense is great on ball on Tatum and Brown even the mismatches with Brown, Brunson made great contests for difficult looks.
The Knicks also at least in the second game, went down 20 largely due to swings that came from fouls. Some stalled momentum such as the charge that Derrick White took from OG which would have cut the lead to 7 with an and 1, which was actually not a set charge his feet were moving and it swung momentum.
I think the narrative is also very tiring that oh, the celtics just aren’t playing great but the Knicks are playing their best basketball. It is such a garbage and lazy take that is being spread around the media as well as these subs. Game 2, Brunson had 16 points total and has shot 35% from the field, OG had a stinker, and they actually had their worst offensive rating of any game this season. The Knicks have a lot to improve on offensively as well, and Brunson doesn’t have two bad games in a row, it could look very difficult in MSG tomorrow with the momentum going to New York. When will people start to give this Knicks team credit for the defensive presence they are showing, it’s non stop pressure. I think Knicks win this series ultimately in 6, the Celtics will keep chucking this up to variance, and Mazzulla will not change his analytics.